~ When Alexander entered Jerusalem the government welcomed him because he wasn’t Persian.
OK, this thing goes “way back”. The Alexander I mention was of course “the great” Alexander. The year was 334 BC or BCE (as the non-bible sayers say), about 2,335 years ago if my math is right. I’m sure that Benjamin Netanyahu can cite chapter and verse of the problems with and perils of the Persian Darius, after all, “all Persians are the same” and “Iranians are just Persians by another name”.
Historically speaking, a good argument can be made that the current conflict is not about religion at all, at least not the Muslim religion. You see, Darius favored the religion of “light and life” (Ahura – Mazda), the car and the Edison light bulb continued the name. Darius enabled eternal flames to be kept burning (think JFK – Kennedy) on various mountaintops throughout the land (Persian empire) and that probably meant that Mount Moriah had a “light and life” flame too. Maybe Alexander (from Greece) would change all that, extinguish the fire, let local Gods rule locally?
Anyway, along with admonishins against “Greeks bearing gifts”, the idea of the dangers of “Persians with fire” were added. History dies hard. 2,335 years is NOT such a long time (in the larger scheme of things), and a rotary engine in a car is almost as good as one that is electric, so “woo hoo doggy” how DO you keep your organized and orchestrated religion pure if you are the head of a religious state?
So the latest news is that Bennie (Benny, Benjamin) is NOT going to tell Obama when the attack on Iran will begin. Fair enough. It’s back to doing surveillance the hard way; actually observing things make it so much harder to lie.
So, it may be a Russian observer, or a Chinese observer, or an Iranian wearing a yamaka that sits aside the tarmac watching. It won’t be a man from the CIA that first sees the blast from Bennie’s jets as they course down the runway for a special parte in the theatre of life.
The Russian will radio Moscow (Putin) and Putin will text message the air command and the Russian jets already in the air will close at about Mach 3 and do what they have to do the minute that the U.S. built Israeli aircraft cross the border of Israel. Jamming and counter-jamming will be so intense that even Radio Luxembourg will probably be knocked off the air. And thus the real war to end all wars will (most probably) begin.
Putin alone will be the puppet-master this time. It will be Putin that decides if to let Israeli aircraft in (into Iran), and how many. It will be Putin that decides which Iranian targets are hit, and how hard. Putin will orchestrate the damage, the blame, the retaliation. The only person totally beyond Putin’s reach will be Kim Jung-un of North Korea; what he will do with his nuclear arsenal and his million man army is anybody’s guess. He has no children, so leaving the country to an heir is probably out.
There WILL BE NO press on hand to truthfully report the clashes and the markings on the missiles and the jets. Weapon fragments will all be planted (salted), like in the Lee Harvey Oswald world, the U.S. media will probably even be provided with notarized receipts. China will dump U.S. bonds and paper in direct proportion to the loss of Russian jets. The only Iranian surprise will be that the Strait of Hormuz will stay OPEN as anyone could have predicted, the attack will concentrate on destroying ALL the Gulf of Oman refineries (which takes out the oil going out by land and sea). Certainly at least one U.S. aircraft carrier will be sunk; this is not the Battle of Midway all over again.
Assad, left by Hillary Clinton with absolutely NOTHING to lose, WILL launch every flying device he has toward Israel just because (in his mind) it just no longer matters. The loss of life (Syrian civilians) caused by the NATO retaliation will make even the most strident die-hard advocate of middle east democracy wonder if ANY election is ever worth such a price.
And then things will be reported as “getting much worse”. Wal-Marts will run out of food as people panic. Gas will cost $50 per gallon (if and when) you can get it. Credit cards will not be accepted for food or fuel anywhere and certainly not for winter clothing.
All of the above is of course, fiction. There will be NO WAR because no leader of Israel will commit national suicide by allowing ANY Israeli jet to go down any runway unless in pairs or alone. Even Israel knows that the whole world is watching and that those in the know (know) the name and number of every Israeli pilot and monitor their phones, their computers, their bedrooms and know before they do if they will be called to fly on any given day. Only the U.S. public is kept “in the dark” about these things.
So, the U.S. is in a bit of a pickle and a mess. The drums of war and saber-rattling sure make people nervous, but not nervous enough to really change. It would take a war to change things and the “final battle” is not doable, except by accident or default.
The RISK of course is accident, as in an “accidental” nuclear war. Like Oswald, or like Jared Laughner, or like the guy in Chardon, Ohio just the other day; they’re out there, they think as highly of themselves (or as little of themselves) as Benjamin Netanyahu or Mahmoud Ahmadinejad or Hillary Clinton for that matter. Some are military, some ex-military. Some are just civilians that happen to find themselves in just the right place at the right time as the figurative politician or the motorcade goes by. It happens. To paraphrase Kennedy from Fort Worth on the morning of November 22, 1963, “It just takes one button unwatched, someone leaving for a cup of Starbuck’s at the wrong time.”
So THERE IS a lot of history worth learning and remembering so that everything doesn’t just go “repeat – repeat”. There is the theory that the “cabal”, the “Illuminati”, some Übermensch, is “out there” and in control. The reality is that this “they” is NOT in control, if they ever were, they have now lost it. “They” may have killed Kennedy, may have orchestrated Afghanistan and the Iraq War; but now there is mutiny in the ranks, disloyalty to disloyalty, smiling faces everywhere that are virtually impossible to discern. This is why March (this year)appears to be such a very interesting month.
It is always very wise to be prepared if things go bad. One should do what they can do to survive and at the same time not be too attached to move on. There seems to be an expiration date appearing on money, maybe literally, or maybe only in my mind. How else would one know when to “cash” it in? Tomorrow the sun is supposed to shine and I have vegetables to plant, to sow.
2012.02.29 – 04:32.